Attachment 1_MAP Achievement Growth During COVID-19_Report_20210511_FINAL_embargoed until May 13 (2)

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Agenda Item

b. Approval of the Renewal of Northwest Evaluation Association (NWEA) Measures of Academic Progress (MAP) Assessment Systems ( in an amount not to exceed $1,300,000.00) - (updated 07.08.2022)

Summary: Presented by: Mr. Oliver J. Lewis, III, Associate Superintendent, Office of Continuous Improvement (Accountability)
Request: In support of Board Policy II, it is requested that the Board of Education approve the renewal of the Northwest Evaluation Association (NWEA) Measures of Academic Progress (MAP) Assessment for the 2022-2023 school year in an amount not to exceed $1,300,000.00.

The requested purchase is an assessment expenditure that does not require bid per the District’s Purchasing Board Policy (DJE).
Why: The DeKalb County School District currently utilizes Measures of Academic Progress (MAP) as a formative, interim assessment in grades K-10 in Reading, Language Usage, Mathematics, and Science. MAP also serves as the District’s universal screener to identify gifted and magnet students, as well as provides supplemental student achievement data to guide Multi-Tiered System of Supports (MTSS) at the local school level.

Additionally, the District requires a tool that:

Is Diagnostic (measures student growth and identify students in need of additional support)
Provides students with an online learning path/continuum-based students’ identified need
Allows the District to compare student performance against other students to determine growth and mastery percentile gaps (this is particularly important for our at-risk subgroups)
Allows the District to determine students level of mastery based on state standards and learning criteria (i.e., success criteria and learning targets) through the use of RIT scores
Can be used as a predictor towards the GA Milestones, SAT and ACT
Provides easy to understand data district, school and individual student reports (at the demographic level)
Provides Family Reports


In preparation for the 2022-2023 school year, the requested renewal is to permit the DeKalb County School District to enter into a continued agreement with NWEA to offer district-wide licenses for MAP assessments and to provide professional learning services to ensure all staff build efficiency in the instructional application of assessment data.

The renewal of MAP reduces the number of norm-referenced assessments offered in a single school year as it replaces the following assessments: Renaissance’s STAR Early Literacy, STAR Reading, STAR Math, the Iowa Test of Basic Skills (ITBS).
Details: This proposed budget item is requesting funds not to exceed $1,300,000.00 to cover the costs associated with the District renewal of the NWEA MAP assessment system and professional learning services.

NWEA Measures of Academic Progress (MAP) is a suite of assessments that deliver data to make a difference in student progress. MAP Growth measures areas related to the Georgia Standards of Excellence in RIT (Rausch Unit) scores. As a result, educators can easily measure growth in learning through the school year, and from year-to-year in Reading, Math, Language Usage, and Science, which also affords educators the capability to differentiate instruction based on the tool’s functionalities. The tool is built on one of the most robust normative scales in the United States.

MAP assessments are computer-adaptive tests that increase in rigor as students answer items, correctly. When a student incorrectly answers a question, the test becomes less difficult as a means to match the next test item with the student’s academic aptitude. Therefore, a student takes an assessment created explicitly for his or her learning level. In addition, MAP Skills provides each student with his/her own specific learning path that identifies skill gaps and provides activities to help students master specific foundational skills.

The GA Department of Education is also closely determining the possibility of the NWEA MAP Assessment as a viable replacement of the year end summative assessment, currently known as the Georgia Milestones. A comprehensive pilot through the GA MAP Partnership has been underway and a stated decision is expected based on the pilot.
Financial impact: The financial impact is an amount, not to exceed, $1,300,000.00 for FY23.

The purchase amount will be paid using general funds budgeted to the Office of Continuous Improvement (Accountability), Department of Assessment Administration, charge code:


100.1000.530010.00011.7540.9990.8010.030.0000 (Other Purchased Services)
Contact: Mr. Oliver Lewis, Associate Superintendent, Office of Continuous Improvement (Accountability), 678.676.0300

Ms. Allison Q. Scott, Director of Assessment Administration, Office of Continuous Improvement (Accountability), 678.676.0300
Effective: July 2022
Status: Contract approved by General Counsel.
Student Achievement Growth
During the COVID-19 Pandemic
Insights from Metro-Atlanta School Districts


Tim Sass & Thomas Goldring
Metro Atlanta Policy Lab for Education
May 2021
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                           1


        Highlights
           • The COVID-19 pandemic has led to substantial reductions in student achievement
             growth, and these impacts have grown over time.
           • The impacts of the pandemic on student achievement growth vary considerably by
             subject, grade level, and school district.
           • Students eligible for free or reduced-price meals—a crude measure of poverty—
             generally experienced lower achievement growth (relative to similar students prior
             to the pandemic) than did students who were not eligible for subsidized meals, but
             the magnitude of the differences varied considerably across grades, subjects, and
             districts.
           • On average, historically marginalized groups, such as Black students, Hispanic
             students, and English learners, tended to experience greater reductions in
             achievement growth (relative to similar students prior to the pandemic) than did
             White and English-proficient students, but these differences varied substantially by
             grade, subject, and district.
           • Students who returned to in-person instruction in fall 2020 experienced greater
             achievement growth per instructional day than did students who continued to
             learn remotely, but their growth was still less than that of in-person learners prior
             to the pandemic.



        Policy Recommendations
        In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, public school districts in Georgia face crucial
        decisions on how to use federal funds to get students back on track academically. Based
        on our research and the existing evidence, we recommend:
          1. Differential supports and interventions based on each student’s achievement
             growth;
          2. High-dosage, small-group tutoring for students who have incurred the most
             significant impacts;
          3. Learning opportunities during the summer and other breaks that are targeted
             toward students whose learning growth has been significantly diminished, are tied
             to classroom content, and which provide strong incentives for participation;
          4. Extended learning time during the school day that is tailored toward student needs;
             and
          5. Robust data systems that track who is offered additional learning opportunities, the
             extent of participation, and student achievement to determine the efficacy of the
             interventions and to make any necessary midcourse adjustments.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                                       2


        Introduction
        The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted formal education on an
        unprecedented scale.
        By order of the governor, public schools in Georgia closed in mid-March 2020 and
        students transitioned to remote learning for the remainder of school year (SY) 2019–20.
        Many school districts offered virtual schooling, but the degree to which students could
        engage in online learning varied considerably, depending in part on access to digital
        devices and the availability of a reliable internet connection.1 The pandemic-induced
        combination of family disruptions, closures of schools, and the swift transition to remote
        learning reduced achievement growth for many students throughout the United States
        heading into SY 2020–21.2
        Most districts in the Atlanta metro area began SY 2020–21 with fully remote instruction.
        However, as the year progressed, many schools began to offer parents a choice of in-
        person instruction for their child, either in a hybrid approach with a mix of in-person
        and remote instructional days or fully face-to-face instruction. Parents could also opt for
        their students to continue with fully remote instruction.
        Initial projections, using national data on the length of school closures and pre-pandemic
        evidence of summer learning loss, indicated that students would likely start SY 2020–21
        with only about two-thirds of the learning gains in reading and less than half the learning
        gains in math, relative to a typical year.3 Fortunately, reports from four of the largest
        formative assessment vendors found that actual reductions in student achievement
        growth from the start of the pandemic to the fall of SY 2020–21, while significant,
        were not as large as had been initially feared.4 More recently, however, a report from
        the makers of the i-Ready assessment indicated that by the middle of SY 2020–21, the
        proportion of students who were not prepared for grade-level work was much larger
        than in prior years, particularly in schools in which a majority of students are Black or
        Hispanic.5


        Determining the extent to which student achievement growth has
        decreased is an essential component of many forthcoming policy
        decisions.



        1
          Herold (2020); Tagami (2020); Walker (2020).
        2
          Kuhfeld et al. (2020a); vonHippel (2020).
        3
          Kuhfeld et al. (2020b).
        4
          Curriculum Associates (2020); Bielinski, Brown, & Wagner (2020); Kuhfeld et al. (2020b); Renaissance
        Learning (2020).
        5
          Curriculum Associates (2021).
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                             3

        Understanding the magnitude of declines in achievement growth will help districts
        determine what sort of intervention strategies will be sufficient to counteract the losses
        and what resource levels will be required to meet the challenge.

        Evidence on differences in achievement growth across grades
        and student groups can be used by policymakers to target
        interventions to students with the greatest need.
        Similarly, knowing how achievement growth varies by instructional mode (remote, hybrid,
        and face-to-face) will inform decisions about the use of remote instruction, both for
        the remainder of the pandemic and beyond. There is a pressing need for such evidence.
        Georgia schools will receive $4.25 billion in funding from the American Rescue Plan
        Act of 20216 and districts must soon make decisions about how to use those funds to
        remediate the impact of the pandemic on students and support their paths for long-run
        success.



        Methodology
        Research Questions
        To respond to the urgent need for information to guide evidence-based decisions, we
        address the following key research questions:
              1. What has been the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on students’ achievement
                 growth?
              2. How have changes to student achievement growth varied by grade level, subject,
                 and student demographic characteristics?
              3. Are students who return to in-person learning likely to improve their achievement
                 growth over and above their rate of growth while learning remotely?
              4. What strategies will be most effective in helping students recover from the
                 educational impacts of the pandemic?


        Sample Description and Empirical Methods
        To analyze the effects of the pandemic on student learning, we use administrative
        data from three metro-Atlanta school districts for the period from SY 2017–18 to SY
        2020–21. We combine information on students’ enrollment, grade, and demographic
        characteristics (including their race, ethnicity, gender, free or reduced price-meal status,
        English learner status, and disability status) with scores on formative assessments.
        Formative assessments are low-stakes exams that districts typically administer two or
        three times per year; they provide a measure of student achievement at multiple points
        during the school year and have been administered both before and during the pandemic.

        6
            Tagami (2021).
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                            4

        Our empirical approach compares each student’s actual test scores with an estimate of
        their expected achievement level had the pandemic not happened. This process includes
        three steps.
          1. We estimate the determinants of students’ fall and winter test scores in years
             prior to SY 2019–20.
          2. We use these historical relationships and actual test scores in the fall and winter of
             SY 2019–20 (just prior to the pandemic) to forecast what assessment scores in the
             fall and winter of SY 2020–21 would have been in the absence of the pandemic.
          3. We estimate the pandemic-induced difference in achievement growth by comparing
             actual scores of students taking formative assessments in the fall and winter of SY
             2020–21 to projected achievement levels, absent the pandemic.
        Because we account for prior test-score histories and observable student characteristics
        when projecting student achievement, a student’s achievement growth is not being
        compared to that of the average student, but rather to what students with similar
        characteristics and test-score histories in the same district would be expected to
        obtain in a “normal” year. Thus, to the extent that pandemic-induced reductions
        in achievement growth are larger for students who started at lower achievement
        levels, they will exacerbate achievement gaps that existed in the absence of the
        pandemic.


        Limitations of the Analysis
        Our use of formative assessments presents certain challenges. First, not all the districts
        in this study used the same formative assessment over time. This limited the grade levels
        we could analyze in one district; in another district, it necessitated converting scores
        on one exam to the scale of another exam. Second, fewer students took formative
        assessments in SY 2020–21 compared to earlier years. This means that our findings
        are representative of the effects of the pandemic on students who took the formative
        assessments during SY 2020–21, but may not be representative of the impacts on all
        students who were enrolled in the district when the pandemic began. Third, the precise
        timing of formative assessments varies across school years, which could distort year-to-
        year comparison of scores. Fourth, many students took formative assessments at home
        during the pandemic rather than at school, which was the standard practice before the
        pandemic. It is possible that parents or others could have assisted students during test-
        taking at home, which would inflate students’ scores.
        For ease of interpretation, we often convert changes in test scores over time to the
        equivalent number of months of learning. This conversion introduces additional fuzziness
        to the calculation of achievement growth because it relies on definitions for an average
        month of learning in scale score points, as well as the number of instructional days
        between testing dates.
        The Appendix provides details on the data and methods used in our analyses, discusses
        the limitations in more depth, and provides robustness checks of the methodology and
        student samples we use.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                            5


        Finding 1: Average Impacts on
        Achievement
        By winter of SY 2020–21, average achievement in elementary and
        middle schools was often months behind where students likely
        would have been had the pandemic not occurred. Students often
        fell further behind between the fall and winter of SY 2020–21,
        sometimes dramatically so.
        Estimates of average achievement are based on each student’s actual achievement level
        on a math or reading formative assessment in the fall or winter of SY 2020–21. Growth
        in achievement is measured relative to the student’s achievement level in the winter of
        SY 2019–20. We compare each student’s actual achievement level to their projected
        achievement level (based on historical relationships and each student’s demographic
        characteristics and test scores in the pre-pandemic part of SY 2019–20). These
        individual-level differences between actual and projected achievement are then averaged
        within grades in each district.
        A negative value for achievement growth indicates that a student’s actual achievement
        level is less than one would expect in a normal year. For example, a value of –3 months
        indicates that a student is nearly one-third of a 9.5-month school year behind where
        they would normally be—had the pandemic not occurred.
        A negative value does not imply a reduction in knowledge; rather, it signals that
        achievement growth has slowed. Moreover, the change in achievement captures
        everything that happened to a student during this period that could have affected
        their learning, much of which is beyond the control of schools.
        Figure 1 reports average math achievement on assessments taken in the fall and winter
        of SY 2020–21 by district and grade level. The key takeaways are as follows: First, average
        math achievement was often behind where students likely would have been had the
        pandemic not occurred. Second, students in most upper elementary and middle school
        grades, with some notable exceptions, fell further behind during the first half of SY
        2020–21. Third, the slowdown in achievement growth during the first half of SY 2020–21
        was often significantly larger than the slowdown between the start of learning-related
        disruptions in mid-March 2020 and the fall assessment at the beginning of SY 2020–21.

        Figure 2 is analogous to Figure 1, but it reports average reading achievement by district
        and grade level. A similar pattern of results holds. Average reading achievement was
        lower than what one would expect had the pandemic not occurred in almost every
        grade level in the fall and in every grade level in the winter. Additionally, comparing
        the results in Figure 1 for math and Figure 2 for reading, the slowdown in achievement
        growth was often larger for reading than for math, although this pattern varied across
        the districts.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                           6

        Figure 1. Average math achievement estimates from winter of SY 2019–20 to fall of
        SY 2020–21, and from winter of SY 2019–20 to winter of SY 2020–21, by district and
        grade level

                      District A
                                                                                       0.7    1.0

                 0
                          -0.1            -0.4                                  -0.3
                                                                -0.8     -0.4
                                                         -0.9
        Months




                                   -1.8          -2.2
                 -4



                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6        Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        Fall    Winter




                      District B

                 0
                          -0.9
        Months




                                          -2.0           -1.9
                                                                         -2.4
                 -4                -3.5                         -3.5                   -3.2
                                                 -4.2
                                                                                -5.0

                                                                                              -6.9
                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6        Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        Fall    Winter




                      District C
                                                                                       0.6
                 0
                          -0.3                                           -0.1
                                          -0.5
                                                         -1.5
        Months




                                   -2.0                                         -2.2
                                                 -3.2           -2.9
                 -4                                                                           -3.5




                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6        Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        Fall    Winter
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                           7

        Figure 2. Average reading achievement estimates from winter of SY 2019–20 to fall of
        SY 2020–21, and from winter of SY 2019–20 to winter of SY 2020–21, by district and
        grade level

                      District A
                          0.2
                 0
                                          -0.5
                                   -1.4                  -1.7
        Months




                                                                                       -2.1
                                                 -2.8                    -2.5
                 -4                                             -3.8
                                                                                -4.2          -4.2



                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6        Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        Fall    Winter




                      District B

                 0
                          -0.2
                                          -1.1                  -1.0            -1.0
        Months




                                                         -2.0            -2.1                 -1.9
                                   -2.3
                                                 -2.7
                 -4                                                                    -3.1




                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6        Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        Fall    Winter




                      District C

                 0
                          -1.1
        Months




                                   -2.7   -2.5
                 -4                              -3.9
                                                         -3.4

                                                                -5.4
                                                                                       -6.2
                                                                         -6.9
                 -8                                                             -7.5          -7.3

                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6        Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        Fall    Winter
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                                        8

        An important takeaway from figures 1 and 2 is that estimates of slower achievement
        growth using assessment data from the fall of SY 2020–21 do not capture the full extent
        of learning-related disruptions due to COVID-19. Many students fell substantially further
        behind prior cohorts during the first half of SY 2020–21.



        Finding 2: Impacts by Student
        Demographic Groups
        Students eligible for free or reduced-price meals generally
        experienced slower achievement growth (compared to pre-
        pandemic trends) than students who were ineligible, but the
        magnitude of the differences varied considerably across grades,
        subjects, and districts. Similarly, traditionally marginalized student
        groups, including Black students, Hispanic students, and English
        learners, generally experienced larger reductions in achievement
        growth, but relative impacts differed substantially across grades,
        subjects, and districts.
        Within a given district, subject, and grade, students have been affected unequally by
        COVID-19. Figure 3 displays average math achievement by eligibility for free or reduced-
        price meals (FRPM), a crude measure of poverty, for two districts.7 For both districts,
        achievement growth from winter SY 2019–20 to winter SY 2020–21 in upper elementary
        grades (grades 4 and 5) was reduced by about one month more for FRPM-eligible
        students than for students from more affluent families. Some disparities also exist in
        middle grades (grades 6 to 8), though the differences are generally much more modest
        than in the upper elementary grades.




        7
         Well over 90 percent of students in District C are eligible to receive free or reduced-price meals and
        thus comparisons of FRPM-eligible and ineligible students are not very meaningful.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                              9

        Figure 3. Average math achievement estimates for winter of SY 2019–20 to winter of
        SY 2020–21, by grade level and free or reduced-price meal eligibility status

                      District A
                                                                                                 1.3
                                                                 0.4               0.6    0.5
                 0

                                   -1.5                                     -1.6
        Months



                                                 -1.7
                          -2.4
                                          -3.1            -2.8
                 -4



                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6           Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        FRPM     Not FRPM




                      District B

                 0
        Months




                                   -2.8
                 -4                              -3.3     -3.5   -3.6
                          -3.9
                                          -4.7                                     -4.5
                                                                            -5.3

                                                                                          -6.9   -7.1
                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6           Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        FRPM     Not FRPM


        As illustrated in Figure 4, reading achievement growth among FRPM-eligible students
        in District A was substantially lower than for ineligible students, with a disparity of up
        to five-and-a-half months in sixth grade. By contrast, the achievement-growth gap in
        District B was much smaller across all grade levels. This does not necessarily mean than
        District B was more effective in educating students experiencing low-income during
        the pandemic. A number of factors could have been at play, including differences in the
        demographic characteristics of students, differences in the formative test employed,
        and the fact that the proportion of students tested in District B fell substantially in the
        winter of SY 2020–21. These issues are analyzed in detail in the Appendix.
        In addition to comparisons by FRPM-eligibility status, we also analyzed variation in
        changes to student achievement growth by students’ race and ethnicity, gender, disability
        status, and English learner status. Graphical depictions of these comparisons by grade,
        subject, and district are provided in the Appendix.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                              10

        Figure 4. Average reading achievement estimates for winter of SY 2019–20 to winter of
        SY 2020–21, by grade level and free or reduced-price meal eligibility status

                      District A

                 0
                                   -0.7
        Months



                                                 -2.2            -1.9              -2.0
                          -2.7                                                                   -2.9
                 -4
                                          -4.0

                                                                                          -6.1
                 -8                                       -7.5              -7.3
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6           Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        FRPM     Not FRPM




                      District B

                 0
                                                                 -0.7       -0.8
                                                          -1.1
                                                                                   -1.7   -1.6
        Months




                          -2.4     -2.0                                                          -2.4
                                          -2.7   -2.8
                 -4



                 -8
                           Grade 4         Grade 5         Grade 6           Grade 7       Grade 8
                                                        FRPM     Not FRPM


        For racial and ethnic comparisons, our findings generally mirror those from the
        breakdowns by FRPM-eligibility status. Overall, Black students and Hispanic students
        tended to experience larger reductions in achievement growth (relative to pre-pandemic
        trends) than did White students. However, observed differences vary substantially by
        subject, grade, and district. Thus, one should avoid drawing broad conclusions about
        variations in pandemic impacts by student race or ethnicity.
        For comparisons of English learners to English-proficient students, the findings are more
        consistent across grades, subjects, and districts than for differences by family income
        or race and ethnicity. For math, in each of grades 4 to 7 across all three districts,
        average changes to achievement growth are larger for English learners than
        for English-proficient students. The specific magnitudes do vary, but differences are
        generally in the range of zero to two months of learning. For reading, average reductions
        in achievement growth are larger for English learners in all three districts in grades
        6 and 7. Likewise, losses are greater for English learners in grades 4 and 5 in both
        districts B and C; in District A there is essentially no difference. As with other sorts of
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                            11

        comparisons, observed cross-district differences in pandemic impacts do not necessarily
        imply differences in the efficacy of English learner programs during the pandemic.
        The composition of English learners (e.g., country of birth and refugee status) varies
        considerably across districts.
        Interestingly, female students generally experienced smaller reductions to student
        achievement growth than did their male peers. These differences were more
        pronounced in middle school than in elementary school. One plausible explanation
        is that peer interactions differ in an online environment, leading girls to feel more
        comfortable. Alternatively, girls may be more mature than boys in the middle grades
        and possess more of the self-discipline required for learning in a remote environment.
        However, understanding the actual mechanisms behind these observed gender
        differences will require further research.
        Finally, we expected we would find that, on average, students experiencing disability
        would have fared much worse (relative to prior trends) during the pandemic than their
        peers who do not experience disability. In general, this is not the case. We do not find
        a consistent pattern of larger average losses for students experiencing disability. Rather,
        differences are frequently small or even favor students who experience disability in some
        cases. One possible explanation for these unexpected results is that parents or other
        caregivers of children experiencing disability may have been more likely to help their
        children during test-taking at home. However, we cannot rule out the possibility that
        some students with disabilities may have actually benefitted from learning in an online
        environment.



        Finding 3: Effect of Returning to
        In-Person Learning
        Students who returned to in-person instruction in the fall
        of SY 2020–21 experienced greater achievement growth per
        instructional day than students who continued to learn remotely,
        but their growth was still less than that of in-person learners prior
        to the pandemic.
        Only one of the three participating districts, District A, offered in-person learning
        opportunities for students during the fall semester of SY 2020–21. In that district, all
        students started the semester with virtual instruction. This was followed by a phase-
        in of hybrid models in September and early October. It was not until mid-October
        that parents could choose full-time in-person instruction for their child. Most students
        who participated in fully in-person instruction ended up spending 30–50 percent of
        instructional days between their fall and winter assessments learning remotely (and
        50–70 percent of instructional days learning in-person).
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                              12

        To analyze differences in student achievement growth across instructional modes,
        we rely on the original exam scale scores, rather than convert scores into months of
        learning. Because we are interested in relative achievement growth across instructional
        modes within a single district, the months-of-learning measure is unnecessary, and
        we avoid any additional uncertainty associated with the conversion from one metric
        to another. We also measure changes in test scores on a per-day basis, to account
        for variability in the timing of in-person instruction and differences in the dates when
        individual students took their fall and winter assessments. Finally, as a point of reference,
        we include the average achievement growth per instructional day from fall to winter
        testing for the most recent pre-pandemic year, SY 2019–20, when essentially all
        instruction was in-person and there were no pandemic-related disruptions in students’
        lives.
        Figure 5 shows average achievement growth per instructional day for students whose
        mode of instruction in the fall of SY 2020–21 was between 30 percent and 50 percent
        remote learning or between 90 percent and 100 percent remote learning. Average
        achievement growth per instructional day was generally higher for students who
        returned to in-person instruction during the fall semester of SY 2020–21, especially
        among elementary grades. The difference was highest for grade 5 reading, in which
        average achievement growth for students who returned to in-person instruction was
        double that of students who were 90–100 percent remote. Middle school grades tended
        to have a smaller difference in achievement growth across instructional modes, with
        slightly better average achievement gains for entirely remote learners in grades 7 and 8.
        Students who received in-person instruction for 50–70 percent of their instructional
        days generally experienced greater achievement gains in both math and reading than
        did students who learned remotely all, or nearly all, of the time. However, it is still
        likely that the achievement growth of students participating in in-person reading
        instruction during the pandemic was less than for students receiving in-person
        reading instruction prior to the pandemic. Even if we extrapolate the gains from
        in-person learning at 50–70 percent of instructional days to a hypothetical 100 percent
        in-person learning (i.e., in-person instruction for the entire fall semester), fall-to winter
        student achievement growth in reading would have been less than in the pre-pandemic
        period, ranging from 36 percent of achievement growth per day in SY 2019–20 for grade
        8 to 95 percent of pre-pandemic achievement growth per day in grade 6.
        For math, the evidence suggests that in-person instruction was at least as
        effective in the first half of SY 2020–21 as it was in the first half of SY 2019–20
        in most grades, although the rate of learning was substantially lower for in-person
        math instruction in grade 7 in the first half of SY 2020–21 than during the first half
        of SY 2019–20, pre-pandemic. This finding implies that enhanced in-person learning
        opportunities in the spring of SY 2020–21 will lead to improvements in achievement
        growth. However, even students who return to campus will likely have greater cumulative
        achievement losses in reading than they did at the end of the fall term.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                                                             13

        Figure 5. Average achievement growth per instructional day in SY 2020–21, by grade level
        and mode of instruction

                            District A: Math
                      0.3
        Scale score


                      0.2     0.18
                                     0.13          0.15
                                                          0.13                                                           0.12 0.13
                                                                                                           0.12   0.11
                                            0.10                               0.10
                      0.1                                        0.09   0.08          0.09   0.09 0.09



                      0.0
                                 Grade 4              Grade 5              Grade 6              Grade 7              Grade 8
                                             0% remote (pre-pandemic)          30-50% remote          90-100% remote



                            District A: Reading
                      0.3
                              0.23                 0.23
        Scale score




                      0.2
                                     0.16                 0.15
                                            0.11                                                                  0.11
                                                                                             0.10
                      0.1                                               0.08                               0.08                 0.08
                                                                 0.07          0.07                 0.07
                                                                                      0.06                               0.06


                      0.0
                                 Grade 4              Grade 5              Grade 6              Grade 7              Grade 8
                                             0% remote (pre-pandemic)          30-50% remote          90-100% remote




        Discussion of Findings
        It has been generally assumed that the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent school
        closures slowed student learning in metro-Atlanta public schools, but to date there
        has been only speculation about the impact on student achievement growth. In this
        report, we provide the first hard evidence on the effects of the pandemic on student
        achievement growth. We find that up to the start of SY 2020–21, losses were moderate,
        generally no more than two to three months of learning in most cases. However, these
        losses mounted during the first half of SY 2020–21: Across most measures, students are
        three to six months or more behind where they would have been had the pandemic not
        occurred. Further, the reductions in achievement growth have been very uneven. There is
        substantial variation in the effects of the pandemic across subject areas, grade levels, and
        student demographic characteristics.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                                14

        The return to in-person learning in the second half of SY 2020–21 will help stem the
        dramatic slowdown in achievement growth. However, our analysis of learning growth
        differences across instructional modes suggests that relatively slower growth in reading
        achievement—especially for middle-school students—is likely to continue during the
        second half of the year. This means that by the end of the school year, large numbers of
        public school students in the metro-Atlanta area will likely have experienced pandemic-
        related losses in achievement growth equivalent to the learning that normally occurs
        over half a school year or more.
        School districts now face the challenge of how best to mitigate the reductions in student
        achievement that have occurred. The American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 and other
        federal relief efforts will provide districts with significant financial resources to introduce
        programs to help students return to their pre-pandemic learning trajectories.Yet money
        alone will not solve the problem. Now more than ever, it is crucial to utilize evidence to
        guide programmatic and policy decisions.

        The evidence in this report and the accompanying Appendix
        can be used to inform decisions about what grades and subject
        areas to target and which students will need the greatest level of
        support.
        Prior research can also guide the selection of remediation strategies and the matching
        of strategies to the level of need. Last summer, we published a curated summary of
        the evidence on the efficacy and cost effectiveness of commonly used remediation
        strategies.8 Reviews have also been conducted by other groups of researchers and
        reached similar conclusions.9
        The strategy that has yielded by far the greatest impact on student achievement and
        has the clearest evidence for its efficacy is high-intensity small-group tutoring aligned
        with classroom content. However, this strategy comes with the highest price-tag.
        Consequently, it needs to be selectively targeted toward students who have incurred
        the greatest reductions in achievement growth. There is also good evidence that
        extending the length of the school day during the regular academic year can accelerate
        achievement growth broadly, especially in reading.
        A third promising strategy is the provision of learning opportunities during summer
        or other breaks in the typical academic calendar. As with tutoring, alignment of
        content with student needs and regular class curricula is key. Moreover, lack of student
        participation in these programs can be a significant impediment to the efficacy of this
        remediation strategy. Consequently, providing strong incentives for enrollment and
        continued engagement in these programs is important.




        8
            Pan and Sass (2020).
        9
            See, for example, Allensworth and Schwartz (2020).
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                             15

        Districts should use federal funding to invest in three evidence-
        based policies: supporting high-intensity, small group tutoring,
        extending the school day, and creating significant incentives for
        students to attend sumer school.
        No matter what remediation strategies are selected, they will not work perfectly
        for all students immediately, and there will be opportunities to make improvements
        along the way. In order to make such mid-course corrections, it is essential to roll out
        programs in such a way that targeted students and a reasonable comparison group
        of non-participants can be clearly identified. It will also be necessary to keep track of
        participation and continue to measure student outcomes along the way. These planning
        and data collection efforts will yield more efficient use of scarce resources and bolster
        the ability of districts to ensure an academic recovery over the coming years for the
        students most gravely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.




        Acknowledgments
        This report would not have been possible without the MAPLE research-practice
        partnership that we have developed over the past four years. As always, we thank
        our metro-Atlanta school district partners for their commitment to evidence-based
        decision-making, guidance throughout the preparation of this report, and ongoing
        partnership. Henry Woodyard, Alexa Prettyman, Sungmee Kim, Sarah Barry, and Aarthi
        Arcot provided superb research assistance. We thank our colleagues at the Georgia
        Policy Labs for their tireless efforts towards the preparation of this report: Chris Thayer,
        Tyler Rogers, Maggie Reeves, Ketisha Kinnebrew, Dan Kreisman, Jon Smith, and Robert
        McMillan. Any remaining errors are our own.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                             16


        References
        Allensworth, E. and Schwartz, N. 2020. School Practices to Address Learning Loss.
         EdResearch for Recovery Brief No. 1. Retrieved from annenberg.brown.edu/sites/
         default/files/EdResearch_for_Recovery_Brief_1.pdf
        Bielinski, J., Brown, R., & Wagner, K. 2020. Findings from Fall Screenings: Data on COVID
          Learning Loss and Updated Recommendations for Instruction. [white paper]. Irvine,
          CA: Illuminate Education. Retrieved from illuminateed.com/download/findings-from-fall-
          screenings-data-on-covid-learning-loss-and-updated-recommendations-for-instruction/
        Curriculum Associates. 2020. Understanding Student Needs Early Results from Fall
         Assessments. Retrieved from curriculumassociates.com/-/media/mainsite/files/i-ready/
         iready-diagnostic-results-understanding-student-needs-paper-2020.pdf
        Curriculum Associates. 2021. What We’ve Learned about Unfinished Learning: Insights
         from Midyear Diagnostic Assessments. Retrieved from curriculumassociates.com/-/
         media/mainsite/files/i-ready/iready-understanding-student-needs-paper-winter-
         results-2021.pdf
        Herold, B. 2020. The Disparities in Remote Learning Under Coronavirus (In Charts).
         Education Week, April 10, 2020.
        Kuhfeld, M., Soland, J., Tarasawa, B., Johnson, A., Ruzek, E., Liu, J. 2020a. Projecting the
         potential impacts of COVID-19 school closures on academic achievement. Educational
         Researcher, 49(8).
        Kuhfeld, M., Tarasawa, B., Johnson, A., Ruzek, E., Lewis, K. 2020b. Learning during
         COVID-19: Initial findings on students’ reading and math achievement and growth.
         NWEA. Retrieved from ewa.org/sites/main/files/file-attachments/learning_during_
         covid-19_brief_nwea_nov2020_final.pdf?1606835922
        Pan, W. and Sass, T. 2020. Potential Remediation Strategies in the Wake of COVID-19
          School Closures: A Review of the Literature. Retrieved from gpl.gsu.edu/publications/
          remediation-covid-19/
        Renaissance Learning. 2020. How Kids Are Performing: Tracking the Impact of COVID-19
         on Reading and Mathematics Achievement. Renaissance Special Report Series, Fall 2020
         Edition. Retrieved from renaissance.com/how-kids-are-performing/
        Tagami, T. 2020. “Time Will Tell the Toll on Schools Closed for Virus,” Atlanta Journal-
          Constitution, April 12, 2020, p.1.
        Tagami, T. 2021. Schools Get $4.25 Billion Shot in Arm. Atlanta Journal-Constitution,
          March 15, 2021, p. 1.
        vonHippel, P. 2020. How will the Coronavirus Crisis Affect Children’s Learning? Unequally.
          Education Next - News. Retrieved from educationnext.org/how-will-coronavirus-crisis-
          affect-childrens-learning-unequally-covid-19/
        Walker, M. 2020. “Some Students Locked out of Virtual Classes,” Atlanta Journal-
         Constitution, April 26, 2020, p.1.
Student Achievement Growth During COVID-19                                                           17


        About the Authors
                              Tim R. Sass is a Distinguished University Professor in the
                              department of economics at Georgia State University and the
                              W.J. Usery Chair of the American Workplace in the Andrew
                              Young School of Policy Studies. He is also the faculty director of
                              the Metro Atlanta Policy Lab for Education (MAPLE). His research
                              interests include the teacher labor supply, the measurement of
                              teacher quality, and school choice.
                              Thomas Goldring is the director of research at the Georgia
                              Policy Labs. He supports the faculty directors in managing research
                              projects and providing analytical and technical support across
                              GPL’s three components. He has researched issues in K-12
                              education, including educational accountability, school finance, and
                              graduation rates; early childhood education; career and technical
                              education; post-secondary education; and education and mortality.




        About the Georgia Policy Labs
        The Georgia Policy Labs (GPL) is a collaboration between Georgia State University and
        a variety of government agencies and school districts to promote evidence-based policy
        development and implementation. Housed in the Andrew Young School of Policy Studies,
        GPL works to create an environment where policymakers have the information and
        tools available to improve the effectiveness of existing policies and programs, try out
        new ideas for addressing pressing issues, and decide what new initiatives to scale. The
        goal is to help government entities more effectively use scarce resources and make a
        positive difference in people’s lives. GPL has three components: The Metro Atlanta Policy
        Lab for Education works to improve K-12 educational outcomes; the Career & Technical
        Education Policy Exchange focuses on high-school-based career and technical education
        in multiple U.S. states; and the Child & Family Policy Lab examines how Georgia’s
        state agencies support the whole child and the whole family. In addition to conducting
        evidence-based policy research, GPL serves as a teaching and learning resource for state
        officials and policymakers, students, and other constituents. See more at gpl.gsu.edu